Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 6.966796e-05 0.000084 0.000100 0.000118 0.000138 0.000159 0.000184
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.337756e-05 0.000072 0.000094 0.000121 0.000152 0.000187 0.000229
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.251620e-05 0.000063 0.000088 0.000119 0.000157 0.000201 0.000255
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.289106e-05 0.000054 0.000081 0.000116 0.000161 0.000213 0.000279
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.629409e-05 0.000047 0.000075 0.000114 0.000163 0.000223 0.000299
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.131170e-05 0.000042 0.000071 0.000113 0.000168 0.000235 0.000322
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.812821e-05 0.000039 0.000069 0.000114 0.000174 0.000249 0.000348
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.466801e-05 0.000035 0.000066 0.000113 0.000177 0.000260 0.000368
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.120999e-05 0.000030 0.000061 0.000108 0.000176 0.000263 0.000381
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.387612e-06 0.000028 0.000059 0.000109 0.000182 0.000276 0.000404
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.790946e-06 0.000023 0.000054 0.000104 0.000178 0.000277 0.000412
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.689285e-06 0.000022 0.000053 0.000105 0.000184 0.000290 0.000436
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.849153e-06 0.000018 0.000048 0.000101 0.000183 0.000295 0.000452
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.006621e-06 0.000017 0.000047 0.000103 0.000191 0.000313 0.000484
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.118902e-06 0.000015 0.000045 0.000103 0.000194 0.000323 0.000507
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.285394e-06 0.000012 0.000042 0.000099 0.000194 0.000329 0.000523
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.738136e-07 0.000011 0.000039 0.000097 0.000195 0.000337 0.000542
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.497969e-07 0.000009 0.000037 0.000096 0.000198 0.000346 0.000564
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.872404e-07 0.000008 0.000036 0.000098 0.000204 0.000361 0.000593
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.321075e-07 0.000007 0.000034 0.000096 0.000206 0.000370 0.000613
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.213899e-08 0.000006 0.000031 0.000093 0.000204 0.000372 0.000625
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 8.798299e-09 0.000005 0.000030 0.000093 0.000209 0.000385 0.000651
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000004 0.000027 0.000088 0.000204 0.000384 0.000657